November 18, 2022 - BY Admin

How the NBA maximized shooting efficiency in an era of Stephen Curry's 3-point revolution

Prior to the 2009-10 NBA season, when Kevin Durant first emerged as a generationally efficient scorer, only four players averaged 30 or more points per game on 60% true shooting or better: Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Karl Malone, Michael Jordan and Adrian Dantley, or the three most prolific scorers of the league's first 67 years and a guy so skilled at manufacturing free throws that proliferation at the line became "The Dantley."


Through the first month of this season, eight players scored better than 30 points per game, and seven of them owned a true shooting percentage higher than 60%. The one who did not, Giannis Antetokounmpo, has a career true shooting percentage of 60%. A ninth player, Ja Morant, could join their club in short order.


If the NBA hasn't maximized shooting efficiency, the past three seasons have plateaued at a level we never could've imagined before the league's 3-point boon, and it'll take another revolution to raise the bar again.


The Dallas Mavericks scored 116.7 points per 100 possessions during the 2019-20 campaign, setting the NBA standard, according to Basketball Reference. Seven teams eclipsed that figure in empty arenas the following season. Another matched it last season, and three more are on pace to match or eclipse it this season. That list includes the Boston Celtics, currently scoring a record 119.5 points per 100 possessions.


Seven of the 12 teams on that list featured either Durant, Antetokounmpo, Luka Doncic, Jayson Tatum or Donovan Mitchell — five of the eight aforementioned players averaging 30-plus points a game this season:


  • Luka Doncic, Dallas Mavericks: 34.4 PPG (54.6 eFG%, 60.4 TS%)


  • Joel Embiid, Philadelphia 76ers: 32.3 PPG (56.0 eFG%, 63.9 TS%)


  • Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics: 31.9 PPG (57.5 eFG%, 64.1 TS%)


  • Donovan Mitchell, Cleveland Cavaliers: 31.6 PPG (60.8 eFG%, 64.9 TS%)


  • Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors: 31.5 PPG (64.7 eFG%, 69.2 TS%)


  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Oklahoma City Thunder: 31.5 PPG (56.4 eFG%, 63.3 TS%)


  • Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks: 31.3 PPG (54.5 eFG%, 58.4 TS%)


  • Kevin Durant, Brooklyn Nets: 30.3 PPG (56.6 eFG%, 65.1 TS%)


Should Curry maintain these numbers, his season would rank as the most efficient high-volume scoring season ever, two ticks better than his unanimous MVP campaign. Mitchell's season would rank third, and together this group would account for six of the 16 most efficient high-volume scoring seasons in history.